Image is of protestors in Mexico City battling police and the barriers they erected, after protestors threw Molotovs at the Israeli embassy.

Much of the preamble has been sourced from Michael Roberts’ recent analysis of Mexico.


Claudia Sheinbaum, part of the left-wing and populist Morena party to which AMLO also belongs, is now the first woman to ascend to the Mexican presidency. She is also a climate/energy scientist and was previously mayor of Mexico City. Results indicate that she has won with approximately 60% of the vote, which would be the highest vote percentage in Mexican history.

AMLO’s presidency has been generally successful. He campaigned on reducing violence inside Mexico, and while this has technically occurred if measured from 2018, homicides are still considerably higher than in 2010. This is largely due to warring drug cartels, which are more reflective of the United States and its rise in drug addiction and thus imports from Mexico. He also campaigned on reducing corruption, which he also kinda has, and also on reducing income inequality, which he also kinda has. The overall figures don’t show massive budges in income inequality, but the minimum wage has risen by 82% and manufacturing wage have risen 27%, and this plus other social programs has lifted 9 million Mexicans out of extreme poverty - a good achievement - but not much further than that, with poverty rates still above the Latin American average. Unemployment is officially at record lows, but much of this job growth has been in the informal sector.

The Mexican economy suffered greatly during the pandemic, and while growth since then has been pretty decent, the economy is still below where it was in 2018. As Mexican capitalists do not pay much in taxes, AMLO’s programs have required large budget deficits and borrowing. These capitalists are, of course, not doing many productive investments and thus there is not much productivity growth; productivity has been more-or-less stagnant for two decades. The reason why Mexican capitalists are not investing is because of the major decline in profitability since the 1990s - there is no reason to invest if your money is at major risk of not making a profit. Therefore, they have followed the trend of other national capitalists of investing in real estate and speculation, particularly in American companies.

Since NAFTA/USMCA, Mexico has become increasingly dependent on the United States for a location for its exports, while the US has exploited cheap labour in Mexico. Additionally, with the anti-Chinese sanctions increasingly put in place by the US, Mexico has become one of several conduits for China to redirect its goods so that they can still reach American markets. This has allowed Mexico to have an essentially balanced trade account and keep the peso relatively strong against the dollar.

Mexico’s limited fortunes will likely decline from here as the US economy continues to slow. If Trump is elected, he may decree protectionist policies which will hit a US-reliant Mexico quite hard. Additionally, industrial production has recently declined and retail spending is also down. AMLO’s presidency was genuinely beneficial for the poorest 50%, but the policies he created failed to really change the fundamentals of the economy. He relied on the private sector rather than the public sector. This is not entirely his fault - if he had tried to do anything terribly transformative, Mexico would have probably been hit hard with consequences by the US and simultaneously faced a domestic revolt by Mexican capitalists. There were and are already threats of outright invasion in response to the limited things AMLO has already done.

In an increasingly multipolar future in which America becomes weaker and weaker, it’s very possible that Mexico’s reliance on the US will decrease, allowing parties to be more radical without facing the possibility of facing crippling sanctions like Venezuela. However, Mexico’s sheer proximity to the US means that they might be among the last countries to break free of American influence, as the US will continue to bitterly resist any attempt to break down the Monroe Doctrine long after it loses Asia, Europe, and Africa. So, it seems likely that Sheinbaum may soon find herself in a situation where she is forced by capitalists to implement fiscal austerity regardless of her intentions, which is equivalent to a declaration of war on the working class. What happens then is anybody’s guess.


The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you’ve wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don’t worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.

The Country of the Week is Mexico! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week’s thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • nasezero [comrade/them]
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    11 months ago

    Coalition for Justice in Palestine launched an encampment at Buckingham Gaza Fountain earlier today lets-fucking-go rat-salute-2

    This is the heart of the most popular touristy area in Chicago this time of year, so I think it’s a smart move to increase visibility and cause disruption, but I’m equally really worried about inevitable police rioting to clear it out because of how visible and disruptive it is.

    Edit: Some additional context, Chicago’s downtown neighborhood (the Loop), where this is situated, infamously clears out at night. Not because it’s unsafe or anything, but just because there’s virtually no night life unlike other neighborhoods. There’s a huge police presence around the fountain right now, but I’m really worried that the cops will just wait for the middle of the night to do their thing.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]
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    4011 months ago

    Mexico Confirms the First Human Case of Death From Bird Flu

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    The Mexican citizen who died from the H5N2 variant had no known contact with poultry.

    On Wednesday, a Mexican laboratory confirmed world’s first-ever human case and death from H5N2, a strain of avian influenza virus that had only been detected in animals until now.

    The first human death from H5N2 is an isolated case that should not cause “extreme concern” but does require increased monitoring of farms to minimize contact between infected animals and people, explained Doctor Luis Buzon, spokesperson for the Spanish Society of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology (SEIMC).

    Avian influenza is an infectious disease of birds, caused by type A influenza virus strains. These birds can infect humans, though it is not common, with fewer than 1,000 cases recorded worldwide. Human-to-human transmission does not exist so far.

    If it were to occur, “a new pandemic could arise because these viruses are 100 percent new to humans,” Buzon stated, explaining that there is no immediate scenario for human-to-human transmission because “that would require a series of actions that are highly costly for the virus. Obviously, the more cases there are and the more contact there is between infected humans, the more easily that could happen.”

    Currently, the virus is only spreading among birds and other animals like seals or cows, which become hosts. Since 2003, the World Health Organization (WHO) has only recorded 889 cases of avian influenza in humans and 463 deaths caused by the H5N1 strain, which has been known for more than 20 years. The last three human deaths from H5N1 occurred in the United States in April.

    The most common way the virus is introduced into a territory is through migratory wild birds. The WHO acknowledged that the spread of the H5N1 variant to mammals and humans is concerning and called for close monitoring of this development.

    The main risk factor for human infection is exposure to infected poultry, live or dead, or to contaminated environments, such as live bird markets. Other risk factors include slaughtering, plucking, and handling carcasses of infected poultry, and preparing birds for consumption, particularly in households.

    The 59-year-old man who died from the H5N2 had no known contact with poultry and presented symptoms such as fever, difficulty breathing, diarrhea, nausea, and general malaise. Some of these symptoms are similar to those of human influenza, making it difficult to identify the H5N2-related influenza.

  • anaesidemus [he/him]
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    1 year ago

    The result of the Icelandic presidential elections is boring. The tactical voters of the anyone but Katrín Jakobsdóttir (traitorous socdem) crowd finally settled on Halla Tómasdóttir (a “businesswoman”) instead of Baldur Þórhallsson (the gay political “scientist”). Us Jón Gnarr enthusiasts kept the faith, with his votes only increasing compared to the polls. I hope he runs again.

    Here is some more info about this Halla. Very boring. Although, I saw a reddit post about her allegedly pulling a Trump and embellishing her achievements, she graduated from Auburn University, Montgomery. Not THE Auburn University.

    Here is a video in English about the election

  • TyMan210 [he/him, comrade/them]
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    3611 months ago

    Can anyone suggest a good current events recap video or something similar? Some of my siblings were recently homeless for several weeks, and now that things have improved and stabilized for them, one of them mentioned feeling like they don’t know anything that’s going on right now. I was hoping there’s something out there that would help them get caught back up, without me sending them like ten different videos on individual topics

  • Redcuban1959 [any]
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    3611 months ago

    Haiti: New Disagreements Emerge in Political Arena

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    The proposal does not convince the presidential advisors, who run the risk of not fulfilling their promises to the representatives of the sectors and organizations that supported them.

    On Friday, the idea of Haiti’s interim Prime Minister Garry Conille to reduce the number of ministries in the new government is generating a new stage of disagreement in the political arena of the Caribbean country.

    The members of the Presidential Transitional Council (CPT) expressed their disagreement with this initiative, which leaves the number of incumbents between 11 and 13, when it was expected that there would be 18 portfolio heads.

    The proposal does not convince the presidential advisors, who run the risk of not fulfilling their promises to the representatives of the sectors and organizations that supported them.

    Hence the open conflict between the two parties, just four days after Conille officially took up his duties after returning from abroad, according to the online newspaper Le Facteur Haiti.

    In this sense, some politicians believe that the measure could contribute to the smooth running of the country if the money allocated to these ministries, now to be eliminated, were to be used for social services, in order to assist people affected by the serious socio-economic crisis.

    It is customary for some ministries to become instruments used by certain sectors to act to the detriment of others, and to make their political capital, without offering anything to the Haitian nation, points out the daily Le National.

    Hence, the reduction in the number of transitional ministers can reduce waste within the public administration. All this conflict – according to local media – will mean that the process of forming a government will take longer than expected.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]
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    5911 months ago

    Russian Military Ships and Nuclear Submarine To Arrive in Cuba

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    None of the vessels carry nuclear weapons, so their stopover in Havana does not pose a threat to the region, Cuban diplomacy stated.

    On Thursday, the Cuban Foreign Affairs Ministry confirmed that three Russian ships and a nuclear submarine will visit Havana between June 12 and 17.

    More specifically, the Russian detachment consists of the frigate Gorshkov, the submarine Kazan, the fleet oiler Pashin, and the rescue tugboat Nikolai Chiker.

    “This visit aligns with the historic friendship relations between Cuba and Russia, and strictly adheres to international regulations to which Cuba is a State party. None of the vessels carry nuclear weapons, so their stopover in our country does not pose a threat to the region,” Cuban diplomacy stated.

    “The visits of naval units from other countries are a historic practice of the revolutionary government with nations with which we maintain friendly and collaborative relations,” it added.

    During their stay, the Russian sailors will follow a program of activities that includes courtesy visits to the Head of the Revolutionary Navy and the Governor of Havana.

    “When the Russian vessels arrive at the port of Havana, 21 salvos will be fired from one of the ships in the fleet as a salute to the nation, which will be reciprocated by an artillery battery of the Revolutionary Armed Forces from the Fortress of San Carlos de La Cabaña,” detailed the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

    On this occasion, the Russian ships will not conduct any military exercises in Cuban waters. Previously, in February 2023, the frigate Gorshkov participated in joint exercises between Russia, South Africa, and China. It has also participated in drills between China, Iran, and Russia in the Gulf of Oman.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]
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    6711 months ago

    North Korea has again launched about 330 garbage balloons into South Korea since Saturday.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]
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    4911 months ago

    Russian President, Vladimir Putin, praises former Brazilian President, Dilma Rousseff’s management of the BRICS Bank.

    The Russian president and the head of the NDB met at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum.

    “The New Development Bank has achieved a lot under your leadership and recorded significant profits for the 1st time,” Russian President Vladimir Putin told Dilma Rousseff in St. Petersburg yesterday, “it’s recovering, working more and more in an organized and successful manner.”