A war will happen.
It will either be a civil war within the US but involving all of North America.
Or the literal 3rd world war. With usa and Russia fighting against Europe, where Canada is one of the main battleground.
I really wish I’m wrong, but I predicted drump’s colonialist ambition over Canada years ago. I also remember being laugh at by everyone around the table at a diner for saying conservatives were making nazism acceptable again. Well guess what…
I’m sacred that your correct but dearly wish you aren’t.
Ditto
Or a revolutionary war. Less likely, maybe, but I think that’s what it’s down to. Will it be civil or revolutionary in nature?
I’m no small-dicked overweight authoritarian dictator, but if I had to make guesses as to their thoughts, I’d say Putler was on the ropes last year, but since he managed to affect US elections enough that Trump won, Putler basically won.
Now unless Europe takes the agreession or at least strongly unifies behind Ukraine, Ukraine might be forced into some kind of deal. I don’t belive they will go for any, so that’s not gonna work from Putler, despite him making Trump push it.
But since Trump is actively burning down the US, I believe your assumption about a North-American war.
If that happens though, Europe will weaken, and Putler could decide to ally with Xi Pooh, and… I don’t know who the fuck would stop them at that point.
But… if world order is already a bit fucked at that point I propose legalising drugs to make it an actually usable market which will generate wealth (and we should already but no-one listens), because drug markets are global, so then South America might actually start straightening itself out if the cartels could see reason. (They’re brutal, but idk how many of them are actually ideologically fascist more than capitalist.)
I really wish I’m wrong, but I predicted drump’s colonialist ambition over Canada years ago. I also remember being laugh at by everyone around the table at a diner so saying conservatives were making nazism acceptable again. Well guess what.
Me too man. I read an NBCNews article today about Greenland and the way it was written, oh boy. Putler has given Trump a little bit of friendly advise on what sort of propaganda to start spreading. Or Putler is doing it for Trump idk.
But it’s clear they’re trying to influence Greenland and eventually will support independence for it, so it’ll become less stable and better to be annexed in some way or another, by either Putler or Trump.
I’m sure Putler would love a base on Greenland.
Significantly populated areas of the developed world are going to be deemed inhospitable due to climate change
Parts of the American South are getting close, but are holding on as long as their power grids do.
That said, a good chunk of Texas won’t remain that way forever.
but are holding on as long as their power grids do.
This is a big thing. Where I live, there’s long stretches of time where the temperature differential inside vs. out might average 50C. That might be hard to imagine if you’re not in a place like this, but it’s totally possible to live somewhere hostile to life with the right technology.
To be fair, the laws of thermodynamics are working against you if it’s hotter outside. Heat can’t really be destroyed very easily, only moved. AC units are universal in the US, but aren’t a good solution in the third world, and if something happens to them you’re in a much scarier situation than just having to bundle up and drain your pipes. Still, I expect the trend towards overly hot places like Arizona growing will continue.
And that’s the point, I reckon.
Heating a home is easy, we’ve done it forever and have some easy ways to do it without the government providing power (so long as you know how to use a wood stove).
Cooling one though? That’s not so easy without electricity.
I suppose. I’d be surprised if the US got poorer to the point they can’t provide electricity and maintain the units, though.
(so long as you know how to use a wood stove).
Fun fact, the Inuit made do with no wood or quality fuel of any kind, even. Just body heat and maybe a little whale oil and fur lantern. What they lacked in sources they made up with lots of insulation.
It depends on where in the US we’re talking about.
I mentioned Texas specifically because the power grid there has had some high profile failures and issues in the last 5 years. They’ve fixed some of it and embezzled money for other repairs. Now they’re farming crypto on it.
Famine around the world. Global political instability + climate change + economic downturn = food scarcity.
A high profile political assassination in the US or Europe.
~the very last part at least~The first time a ceo or politician gets assassinated by drone-strike will cause some severe lockdown on those things.
No matter what country it happens in.
Preperations for the 2038 bug (similar te the Y2K bug) start too late about 2035
Linux Desktop gets stronger, even if its slow
I may or may not manage to finish hosting Nextcloud mostly save on the internet
Rise in suicide rates
fall of fanservice isekai (pls)
Rise of the fediverse (could be slow)
What 2038 bug? Why would it cause a bug?
Computers have to store time somewhere and the unix timestamp needs on 19 january 2038 more storage than the commonly used data type offers. Then it returns to the first possible date possible -> 13 December 1901
Imagine wanting to make an appointment for the 20 jan 2038 and then it says “could not make an appointment on 14 dec 1901”
it would be funny or annoying for us but be a big problem in bank/transaction systems
Some systems are prepared but the problems are systems that cant be updated
Just curious as a casual PC gamer. What would make the average person care enough to switch to Linux?
Also as a casual pc gamer, here is my take.
I just started getting into github projects, and have learned a few things. Like windows and linux can be ran on the same operating system (called wsl) for free and already built in windows. It is pretty useful for developer projects. The point being, there is a good chunk of gamers that are tech savy. Learning linux is not that hard especially with no barriers to entry.
But MAINLY, because people are tired of changing operating systems. https://store.steampowered.com/hwsurvey
Windows 10 has INCREASED in popularity more than windows 11 compared to last year for steam users. Since Windows 10 will be officially discontinued in a year, that is actually bonkers. This shows that people (gamers) are getting tired of making unnecessary changes/updates to things that aren’t broken and work fine.
Linux is a free option for that. BUT… until you can play all steam game son linux, the switch won’t happen. The linux popularity will only increase once games can be run on it. Then, the gamers will teach their families how to use linux, which won’t be hard, because distros like Ubuntu are already user friendly (Macs are also based off linux as well). It has desktop, file exploration, browsers, etc.
Since most people just use their computers for work, email, social media, streaming, etc., there is actually no reason for people not to use linux really. The only reason they haven’t is because they are not per-installed on computers and windows is already ‘free’.
Thank makes sense. It pissed me off a lot when I was playing Bannerlord and upgraded to windows 11 only to have the game freeze frame every frequently when it never happened on windows 10. Also some of the UI options are worse.
Gaming performance. And not getting f-ed up by Windows again, and again, and again.
Depends on the “average” person You are allowed to stop reading at any point!
generally:
- if one only uses the browser anyway why not use an os that is easy to install, gets updates for like forever, can run on a potato and just works
- it supports more hardware (especially that it does not require tpm) making it cheaper when choosing used hardware + is more resource efficient
- It has no ads build in
- being able to drag games fullscreen from one desktop to another with windows key* pressed and mouse drag (at least arch + plasma)
- users being able to choose their own difficulty from easy and less flexible (mint) to specific (bazzite, looks like a games console but for steam) to advanced (arch) and further
- no account needed to use it (+ no nag screens except maybe on install but way less than windows)
- able to be installed on a USB stick and be used on every pc that lets you boot from it, can even be tested without install
- Installing software is much easier and safer as one does not need to visit some website to download an exe but only needs to open the program store or look up the name and then simply copy paste something in the console and press enter
- a lot can be updated at once, not only the system but programs as well with one simple command (or the update button in discover or something like that)
*dont really know how else to call it XD
specific: gamer -> proton works wonderful to emulate win games that have no intrusive anticheat (protondb is your friend) office -> open office or if they want a more ms office thing Softmaker (but its paid & some things are not supported, has no subscription options tho) artist -> gimp and krita are your friends
cons (to be a bit fair):
- some things (like how to download programs) can be massively inconsistent between platforms (glancing at ubuntu)
- its not windows and will never be so it can be challenging to adapt (like using the console or installing programs)
- MS office is not native to linux and needs compatibility layers (like proton or wine) or even a VM
- could be a hassle for students or workers where MS software is required
Sorry for the dump, i am not sure if i properly answered your question or you got what you wanted to know
Yeah you did. Thank you for the response and indepth analysis.
By level of confidence, from top to bottom:
Bitcoin will dump soon and then raise up again around 2028
Trump will stay in power until next elections (and yes, elections will still take place)
Ukraine will have to surrender to Russia around late 2025-early 2026, boosting authoritarian regimes around the world
Linux desktop share will raise to 6% by 2027
Ukraine will likely cede territory but not a total surrender. It would give both sides an exit.
Yeah I sure meant that
TBF, Russia still has elections. Just no chance of Putin ever leaving.
The elections are commonly rigged, and budgetary employees are often forced to promote Putin and the United Russia party.
I think Trump is going to die in the next 10 years.
Hopefully much sooner!
Rootin for cholesterol
Well unfortunately it’d just go to Vance 🤢
Well yeah, but at least he’s just evil, not insane.
I don’t think you understand how much worse competent evil can make things for you, versus incompetent evil.
Since I’m not feeling very optimistic, and given that everything I predicted today was the exact opposite, I’ll say this.
- Campi Flegrei explodes, creating a noise louder than Krakatoa.
- Santorini sinks into the ocean.
- Nuclear war.
- Groundwater runs out all over the world.
- A massive solar emission hits earth, throwing us back into the Stone Age.
Doing my duty, to protect the world by predicting things, so the exact opposite happens 🍺.
Just to cover all the bases, some extra points.
- AI superintelligence is evil.
- A gamma-ray burst hits earth.
- Aliens are evil.
- Vacuum decay is possible and something accidentally triggers it.
- Nobody likes me romantically.
Well you probably aren’t actually meeting new people so low chance of finding love
GRRM isn’t going to finish the books.
Nor is Patrick Rothfuss. I believe he probably outgrew the story he was telling.
-The internet will become something only old people use and will fill up with old people like radio and TV before it. Something new will be the hip new thing that kids use/consume, though it technically could be considered the internet
-Coal power plants will be phased out entirely in U.S.A. with some taking credit and others morning the loss of a purely economic conversion over to natural gas power. It will look like it is solar’s time to shine, but a “new” way of generating power which is cheaper and slightly cleaner will take over and slowly convert natural gas plants to whatever it is.
-There will be a detracted argument over whether or not what comes after current gen-AI is considered sapient and worthy of rights. While the debate will be straightforward in a vacuum, other semi-related topics will mix in including: the rich wanting their AI doppelgangers to keep control of the money/power they earned during life; something to do with sex and/or relationships because of course there will be; religious opposition until the poll numbers swap, then there will be some regions that view AI rights a helping the disadvantaged
-A young politician from the democrats will get elected on the back of anti-Trump hate. They will have in their first two years theoretically enough support to pass substantial legislation, but will be stopped by a small number of conservative democrats from doing anything substantial save for maybe one big accomplishment. They will loose the 2030 midterms to a bunch of republicans and a “grass-roots” organization that is paid for by rich business owners, but will come back to win the 2032 election against a rich republican from New England. However, they won’t have control over the congress and by 2035 will be a lame duck.
-Someone will scrap NASA’s current human space flight plans to promote their own plan, which in itself will be scrapped when a new administration comes in. By 2035, articles will be printing “it is a shame that no real current alive human has stepped foot on the moon”, taking a subtle dig at China’s AI-human that is currently building structures on the moon.
The first two feel like they’re missing details. What are you considering the real internet? Do you mean nuclear power will take over?
There will be a detracted argument
Probably meant protracted
someone will scrap NASAs current human space flight plans to promote their own plan, which in itself will be scrapped when a new administration comes in
Kinda like how each administration switches if we are going to Mars or the Moon next based purely on what the previous guy said haha
The surveillance of chats and the prohibition of encryption in many Western countries must have a purpose. It mostly makes sense if democracy is dismantled.
Since the West doesn’t show signs of sharing resources voluntarily, my prediction is that the West is willing to fight a nuclear war to preserve its lead which cannot happen in a democracy.
Without that war, Asia will take over as the center of commerce and innovation. The brightest will move there, which means that the remaining people in the West have to be innovative without the main ingredience for innovation.
If China escalates to cause war in Asia when other countries are sufficiently pissed off by them trying to steal territory and harass others non-stop, then that plus a potential Chinese real estate market collapse could cause pretty serious problems in the region.
I’ll go with Hanlon’s razor there. The cops and politicians don’t really understand the magic boxes, let alone the game theory of adversarial uses layered on top of them. People use the boxes for bad things, they say just add a way to stop them, EZ. (Of course, we can’t and it’s not)
Since the West doesn’t show signs of sharing resources voluntarily
Which resources? The “only” tangible advantage the West actually has is strong institutions, and to a much lesser degree momentum. The science behind the technology is free for anyone to learn - even in excruciating detail if you go looking - and natural resources are actually less depleted in poor countries at this point.
That advantage could have been given up and shared. Instead it is defended, even with military power. Why fight those wars now and make enemies?
That advantage could have been given up and shared.
Strong institutions cannot be put in a crate and shipped overseas, no.
Countries like Japan, Singapore and South Korea slowly built their own, and are also developed now. Most poor countries just haven’t managed it yet for one reason or another.
That other reason, too often it’s Western intervention.
As a consequence, I believe that there won’t be a peaceful transition into a multipolar world, because that could have already happened.
I’ll go by (very broad) regions:
The United States experiences a brain drain and Trump’s death (all but inevitable in 10 years, whether by natural causes or other means), will cause a major rift in the Republican Party. Democrats will somehow fail to capitalize on it and then blame online leftists, famously the kingmakers of American politics.
Canada will become a de facto part of Europe. Bike lanes will be added.
Europe will experience an economic boom as it’s basically forced to develop new industries, becomes the default destination for scientific research, and the Euro begins to replace the dollar as the currency of choice for international trade contracts. France, especially, will benefit as it isn’t reliant on the U.S. for military support, space launch capabilities, etc. and will become the default NATO weapons supplier.
Russia will have a deep post-war depression even if it takes Kyiv due to brain drain and sending so many young men into a meat grinder.
China will have a medium-sized economic crisis but ultimately (after Xi) enact long needed reforms (kind of like when Mao died and Deng Xiaoping enacted reforms).
India will have a major crisis as Hindu Nationalism goes too far and people begin to revolt.
Central Asia will keep on keeping on. (I don’t know a lot about Central Asia.)
Latin America will increase trade with China and Europe at the expense of the United States. Bolsonaro will go to the hospital 50 more times and be bit by an even more exotic bird. Argentina will benefit most from the decline of the U.S. as a reliable trading partner.
Israel will annex the West Bank and Arab countries will isolate it. Saudi Arabia’s line city will still be in the planning stages. Iran will develop a nuclear deterrent but the power of the Supreme Leader will be weakened and shift to the elected officials because of economic problems.
The Maghreb will benefit from Europe’s rise and increased trade. West Africa will experience an economic and population boom and become an inexpensive manufacturing hub. The Horn of Africa will probably remain a shitshow (but hopefully I’m wrong about that). Central and Southern Africa will also experience significant growth but at a slower pace than West Africa.
Australia will lose another war with emus as New Zealand wisely allies with the Emus. They will force Australia into a humiliating peace deal that ultimately leads to a third Emu War, much like WWI’s onerous peace terms led to WWII.
Ocean acidification and rising sea levels will begin to fuck everyone and scientists will scream about it but it’ll be the following decades when that sort of thing really wrecks the world economy.
Nintendo will somehow sell me the same games for the 5th time.
and be bit by an even more exotic bird.
Australia will lose another war with emus as New Zealand wisely allies with the Emus.
Makes note: @[email protected] is our resident Ornithologist.
Nintendo will somehow sell me the same games for the 5th time.
As an Australian I will welcome our new emu overlords. I presume this will lead to some major social changes where men take on the primary role in childcare and where feather dusters become a status symbol.
This is the most accurate one so far.
All of this is entirely too possible….
Who are you future man?
I should defrost my French skills.
Bonjour.
buenos dias
Canada will become a de facto part of Europe. Bike lanes will be added.
We already have bike lanes, I’m offended
Canada will add bike lines Not in Ontario while Doug Ford is in power (at least 4 more years).
This was such a nice read, thank you Mr. Shit the beetles
Only 5th time in 10 years, they must been busy elsewhere.
Wow, as someone who is very knowledgeable on past and current affairs this prediction/analysis is very accurate and funny
How can you say it’s accurate if you’re not knowledgeable on future affairs!? Smh…
Blood in the streets. Only question is, whose?
Syria just had a half a 9/11 over the weekend with an estimated 1,300 people killed, mostly civilians as revenge. They pulled people into the street and executed them and robbed their family members who witnessed their loved ones die.
I predict something similar will happen in the U.S. in the next few years as white supremisist militias grow.
@[email protected] 10 years
@TheImpressiveX Ok, I will remind you on Saturday Mar 10, 2035 at 11:48 PM UTC.
Me too
(wondering how smart the bot is)
A Tsunami of unprecedented size will completely destroy a coastal metropolis.
A heat wave in the middle east will leave hundreds dead in the first recorded wet bulb event.
In September 2035, the Arctic will be completely ice-free for the very first time, 15 years ahead of predictions.
Around that time, the first commercial shipping route along the north-western passage will open.
One of the first container ships will run onto a naval mine and sink, killing all hands. Russia will deny any involvement.Have I… heard/read it somewhere before?
No idea, I didn’t copy it from somewhere.
On the optimistic side, I think it’s likely a gene treatment is developed that greatly extends the lives of dogs.
Or on the pessemistic side, the research that would lead to that is defunded because someone mistakenly believes it will make transgender dogs.
Conservatives who are getting their face eaten will not learn a single thing from anything
Woah, look at Nostradamus over here
