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I highly doubt it.
The source is a retired US General’s gut feeling.
We need a term for semi-expert. He probably knows more than me on the subject but there are definitely people more in tune to the situation.
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The operative words here are ‘likely’, ‘unlikely’ and ‘probably’, which function as verbal CYA for a retired general giving an over-simplified analysis based on insufficient background knowledge.
No one knows anything, especially the ex general.
“source?”
“…my gut is never wrong”
except on taco tuesday
Ya-Think
LOL. Unfortunately he isn’t Gibbs.