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Reddit says Microsoft’s Bing, Anthropic, and Perplexity have scraped its data without permission. “It has been a real pain in the ass to block these companies.”
I think this might be the core of our disagreement. They are explicitly consenting to that candidate’s policies, regardless of how much they claim to disagree. They’re pulling your leg; their primary votes accurately reflect their average beliefs.
IMHO Harris is already polling better than Biden because she talked back to Netanyahu. A significant percentage of Americans were so not OK with the Palestinian genocide, that they were going to not vote.
Meanwhile, completely reasonable not-fascist people will vote for Don “Finish the Job” Trump because Republicans supported small government during desegregation. While he’s officially executing political minorities, we can take some solace in the fact that we didn’t ban his supporters from any servers.
If that’s the standard, then I cannot vote for any candidate because I do not consent to the totality of anyone’s policies. The only way for that argument to make any sense to me, is if we have something like proportional representation with a dozen or more parties. But we only have two viable parties to choose from, with 2-3 somewhat viable third parties for protest votes.
So I must assume that a majority of the votes are from people selecting a “lesser of two evils” candidate and that they disagree with a large chunk of that candidates policies but believe the country should move more in that direction. What “that direction” means can vary by person.
I honestly don’t trust the polls at this point. We’re like 3 months away from the election, Harris and Trump haven’t debated, and the primaries have only just recently finished. So any polling data is going to be skewed.
I personally put a bit more stock in betting odds (Trump in the lead, but the gap seems to be closing). However, it’s also early days, so I’m not going to trust either until at least a month before the election.
I highly doubt that’ll happen, even if the Supreme Court decision seems to give him that power (which is a terrible decision, the President should not be above the law). He was largely tame in his first term, and I doubt he’ll do much his second term. That doesn’t mean I think people should vote for him (I don’t, I think he’s terrible), but I think the media is spreading a lot of FUD around him.