@[email protected] to Political [email protected]English • 12 days agocall your representatives nowlemmy.cafeimagemessage-square159fedilinkarrow-up1978
arrow-up1978imagecall your representatives nowlemmy.cafe@[email protected] to Political [email protected]English • 12 days agomessage-square159fedilink
minus-square@[email protected]linkfedilink3•edit-212 days agosliwa is polling at 7% in the latest poll Even if we assume he get doubled that like 15% The remainder split 3 way evenly is about 28% sliwa would have to win like 26% then have the 3 split evenly 24.6 + 24.6 + 24.6 Extremely rare for that to even be possible. My bets are 60% chance Mamdani wins, 35% cuomo win, 4% adams win, 1% sliwa win.
minus-square@[email protected]linkfedilink1•edit-212 days agoI hope your right. Now we need 350 more of those mayors, 230ish new congress members, and 53 new senators and we can start to have a start
sliwa is polling at 7% in the latest poll
Even if we assume he get doubled that like 15%
The remainder split 3 way evenly is about 28%
sliwa would have to win like 26% then have the 3 split evenly 24.6 + 24.6 + 24.6
Extremely rare for that to even be possible.
My bets are 60% chance Mamdani wins, 35% cuomo win, 4% adams win, 1% sliwa win.
I hope your right. Now we need 350 more of those mayors, 230ish new congress members, and 53 new senators and we can start to have a start