1.Israel stupidly keeps attacking everyone and US weapons supply runs dry. They get destroyed by their victims retaliation.

2.China actually decides to do something.

3.Russia does that Simpsons bit where robot Lenin breaks out of his grave. But says “Haha joke!” And continues being shitty and capitalist.

4.Ukraine does something stupid and Nazi-coded to get attention from US senpai.

5.The US accidentally nukes itself.

  • RiotDoll [she/her, she/her]
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    9 months ago

    us will nuke itself, probably the west coast, and blame a foreign nation, as an excuse to glass as much as possible. eco-fascism follows, big chunks of the world turned into a cratered smear, the rest exploited down to its remaining yield, then we all fucking die

    also we’ll get sent to work for a big corporation and that’s just your job now or else. feudalism but corporate and worse

    • bumpusoot [any]
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      59 months ago

      We’re not fully sure of the number, but somewhere between 3 and 20 modern day nukes will be enough to start a global winter where everyone dies anyway. If any kind of nuclear war starts out, even a teeny tiny one, most-to-all of humanity is fucked.

      • 0__0 [he/him]
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        59 months ago

        Somebody more knowledgeable correct me, but wasn’t the whole nuclear winter thing debunked already?

        • bumpusoot [any]
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          9 months ago

          Not debunked, but it’s all theoretical and controversial, as I say nobody really knows. Many still reasonably suggest there’d be mass extinctions from a “minor” nuclear war. Some disagree.

          Basically everyone agrees there’d be some form of globally damaging fallout. Whatever the case, I’m not that eager to find out, personally.

        • gay_king_prince_charles [she/her, he/him]
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          9 months ago

          Not necessarily. The issue is that we don’t know what a modern nuclear bomb does to a city and n=2 (where only one was a direct hit) is a terrible dataset to extrapolate from. It all depends on if cities form firestorms if hit with a nuclear bomb. Atmospheric modeling of firestorms from forest fires is unreliable; there are hundreds of thousands of data points of forest fires and very few on nuclear bombs.

    • vegeta1 [he/him]
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      229 months ago

      Reading about the time in 1961 the US almost nuked itself in North Carolina

    • SadArtemis [she/her]
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      279 months ago

      Hopefully, the YanKKKee reich will not even live to see its 250th anniversary. They will never get their thousand-year-reich (humanity will literally go extinct before it happens)

  • Aradina [They/Them]
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    149 months ago

    I’m hoping no one bothers to nuke Australia much, mostly.

    That’s all I got, let’s On the Beach this shit. “This is how the world ends. Not with a bang, but with several bangs and a fart noise”

    • CloutAtlas [he/him]
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      89 months ago

      Scott Morrison flees to the outback to try and save his own ass, accidentally runs into the Pine Gap perimeter and gets domed by a trigger happy seppo security guard.

      He ascends to Hillsong purgatory, which I believe is a 24/7 never ending Australian Idol season, he’s stuck in the live audience and the exits are locked.

      • Aradina [They/Them]
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        39 months ago

        24/7 never ending Australian Idol season, he’s stuck in the live audience and the exits are locked.

        That’s just wrong! He should get eight hours of sleep a night and one hour exercise a day to prolong the amount of days of 24/7 Australian Idol he suffers.

      • Mindfury [he/him]
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        29 months ago

        imagine getting Young Diva’d for an eternity lmao

        fyi sat next to Rikki Lee on a plane once, she was very nice

  • milk_thief [it/its]
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    209 months ago
    1. Land War in Asia
    2. “tactical nukes are fine, bruh” - they are not fine
    3. US goes down before Israel does
    4. We get a really dumb attempt at federating two countries, it works just well enough to not fall apart
    5. Ukraine goes down just before US does
    6. Humanity and capitalism survive, this is not dumb enough for our final round yet
  • BodyBySisyphus [he/him]
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    39 months ago

    I think the American bourg isn’t dumb enough to think war with China would end well and hasn’t figured out an exit strategy yet, but the problem is the military is getting increasingly stuffed with members of the least reality-tethered Christian subclades. Tension between the financier class and military’s Dominionist moiety builds until one of two things happens: the loonies get one of theirs into the top brass and we get a bloodless coup when the president voluntarily turns the reins over to the military, or capital’s contradictions build until the US finally implodes (likely because its fragile food production system collides badly with our increasingly volatile global weather patterns and causes another Dust Bowl) and we end up Mad-Maxing it while the rest of the world tries to keep us contained (option #5 fully on the table here). Regional conflicts continue to boil over and cause chaos in Eurasia in the meantime but nothing progresses to the point where we’re fully embroiled in a world war.

  • anarchoilluminati [comrade/them]
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    109 months ago

    I’m going 1.

    They’re going to abandon Ukraine but Azov will escalate as insurgents and maybe abroad.

    Zionists will overextend their fronts and suffer losses that the US won’t be prepared or able to turn around. They might resort to nukes on the way down. Probably.

    • Mindfury [he/him]
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      189 months ago

      the key part of it is that the US government will do a ‘cost-benefit analysis’ and determine the most multicultural city with any cultural recognition but make sure it has the least “economic output” (read: rich whites) or “strategic significance” (read: is a military town with chud whites) possible.

      then they’ll do the self nuke and blame China, stating Iran & Russia were providing a smokescreen by making “”“”“Israel”“”“” commit genocide

  • Teekeeus [comrade/them]
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    489 months ago

    I don’t think the US has the logistical capabilities to wage a direct war against an industrial power

    • pumpchilienthusiast [comrade/them, any]
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      89 months ago

      at this point I assume we have also outsourced our weapons manufacturing to china but still expect them to continuing exporting said weapons during any future conflict so that we may use them on them

    • anarcho_blinkenist [none/use name]
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      109 months ago

      cap-think Wait, you’re saying mostly-digitized and totally-financialized monopoly capital amounting to pieces of paper saying I own those means of industrial production, which are all outsourced into the hands of and operated by those imperialized and neo-colonized industrial countries who would become belligerent against us in a direct war, ISN’T sufficient enough to win a war?

      capitalist-laugh Those are warring words!! explosion nuke

      M16 you-are-a-serf you-are-a-serf you-are-a-serf you-are-a-serf explosion

    • SadArtemis [she/her]
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      379 months ago

      Neither do I- but I definitely think they have the arrogance and malice to try despite it all. All they have left is terrorism (nuclear MAD, supporting literal terrorists or acting as the terrorists themselves, genocide, etc), and they’ll try to use it as best as they can, probably.

  • Frogmanfromlake [none/use name]
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    349 months ago

    Would be peak doomerisn if the current Communist Party of Russia managed a miracle and became head of government, only for them to be just as reactionary as the current government and just as capitalist.

  • infuziSporg [e/em/eir]
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    49 months ago

    Y’know the saying “never get involved in a land war in Asia”? Pretty much everyone disregards that, and instead takes a page from Russia on consistently having the most troll-ish foreign policy.

    Tuerkeeyeh leaves NATO and starts making moves on a pan-Türkiq alliance. Also they annex the parts of Syria heretofore held by their army and the FSA, effectively ending the 14-year civil war. Al-Assad al-Dimashq does the United Russia two-step and returns to the presidency in 2029.

    Kashmir conflict pops off into outright war between India and Pakistan. China arms Pakistan, Russia arms India, the US advocates for India but arms both sides, not getting further involved because it’s staring China down across the Strait. The Naxalites are effectively defeated in detail, and flee to Nepal.

    Yoon Suck Y’all gets doohickied (first as farce, second as farce), and the result ends up being that Koreas decide it’s a good time to reapproach. But that ends up meaning that they just allow a couple visas, the DMZ stays in place.

    Poland yolos into the Ukrainian rump state, this time they’re the ones Partitioning. Russia is too busy holding off an insurgency in central Ukraine and proxy wars in Africa to contest western Ukraine.

    The Sahel gets extremely hot, literally and figuratively. There are a few more cast changes from Guinea to the CAR but somehow they all stay really well-aligned with each other. France tries to do an intervention at some point and gets promptly chased out; this leads to their next election being 45% RN and 35% leftists. Sudan is the only Sahel country that doesn’t end up sovereign, they become a Russian proxy. With control over their mineral wealth, in the face of desertification they are able to avoid famine with increased grain imports from Russia and India, for now.

    The UK gets involved in some AUKUS complication that makes the Triton missiles a pressing matter. Scotland is finally pressured to leave. Especially without the Labour strongholds in Scotland, Starmer immediately loses a vote of no confidence, but the party keeps pivoting to the right and stays in power for awhile, mirroring the Democrats in America.

    Mexico, Nicaragua, and Venezuela start more brazenly breaching the Cuba embargo. Losing its grasp on Colombia, the US State Department tries to turn Guyana into its regional outpost but it’s too little too late, the pink tide gets redder with each passing year.

    We end up getting new military juntas in Myanmar and Thailand, but also in Bangladesh and Cambodia too. India likes this “Asian Dictatorship Belt”, China and Vietnam aren’t happy about it but they don’t do anything about it. More CQC border shenanigans between China and India end up morphing into a cross between rugby and kabaddi. Deepfakes of Erdogan and Putin playing this sport are stunningly popular, and it becomes the 2nd most popular sport on the planet in the 21st century.

    Japan keeps rearming, and they goad the Philippines into fighting a naval war in the SCS. The Philippines gets trounced but no border changes happen except for renouncing a claim on the Spratlys. Learning from this, Japan decides not to go after China, but BBM is deposed and the country careens into civil war, with the NPA starting to make gains. All throughout this, China still doesn’t make a move on Taiwan.

    Israel strikes and kills at least 5 consecutive leaders of each of Iran, the IRGC, Hamas, Hezbollah, and Ansarallah. They still lose the war, and for the first time in 75 years, the grinding roller of settlement expansion is reversed, with a few more West Bank settlements closing down. Likud eats shit, Benny Gantz starts a “Moderate Party” that sweeps the election but continues to govern like fascists.

    The international blockade on Gaza is de jure lifted, but de facto Israel still limits who and what comes in. Sea is the only way in because Egypt joins Israel in keeping the land border closed. The US spends a huge amount of resources propping up el-Sisi and MBS as open revolt pops up.

    Kamala wins the election and makes Tom Cotton her secretary of state. She reinstates the draft, but instead of actually deploying, they build The Wall and set up a whole bunch more prisons for draft-dodgers.

  • 12022081631 [he/him]
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    199 months ago

    55555555 except despite the fact that they identify it as a US isotope they will somehow blame libya iran and invade iran

    after some time there will be committee hearings that determine that it was a known excuse internally and they use the words “biggest removeding excuse” and there will be a genius lyrics about it with amy goodman like this but the scandal will only ripple out as far as a couple democracy dies in darkness headlines and then they’ll continue making money off it