• PonyOfWar
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    858 months ago

    I wouldn’t say giving Harris a 50.4 percent chance of winning is predicting her to win. That’s effectively a coin toss.

    • ohellidk
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      438 months ago

      yeah, I really hate seeing these types of articles during elections. some will skim past it and go “well, its cool. I don’t need to vote, she got it” and that kind of lazyness is how elections are lost.

      • @[email protected]
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        188 months ago

        That’s the whole point. America’s plutocracy — who own most of the media — want a fascist dictatorship. They’ve been financing and amplifying Trump the entire time.

        What more could a capitalist want than no competition, low/zero taxes, and not having to worry about the risk that democracy represents to their wealth and power…

  • @[email protected]
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    178 months ago

    This is extremely misleading. Most data-driven outlets are open about saying that a 51% chance of a Harris victory is essentially a coin flip.

    And the ones that are based off of gut feelings rather than data? They’re less than useless.

  • justhach
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    8 months ago

    Kamala Harris Hillary Clinton predicted to win by nearly every major forecaster”

    Its like 2016 never even fucking happened lol

      • snooggums
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        178 months ago

        YES (no predictions)

        Honestly there should be zero results posted until all votes are counted. Counting as they come in influences later voters, especially in western time zones.

        I thought there was an election in the not too distant past where the news declared a winner before Hawaii even finished voting.

        • SaltySalamander
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          18 months ago

          I disagree with the “no predictions” part, but fully 100% agree with not releasing any results until all votes are tallied.

          • snooggums
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            28 months ago

            What would they base predictions on without results?

    • @[email protected]
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      348 months ago

      She was predicted to win the popular vote…

      And she did.

      Looking at statewide polling and a lot of battleground states were coinflips.

      The problem was anyone mentioning that got screeched at for wanting trump to win…

        • @[email protected]
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          68 months ago

          I really didn’t think she’d fuck it up this much.

          The last three elections have been like Brewster’s Millions where it’s like the Dem is trying to lose.

      • abff08f4813c
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        138 months ago

        She was predicted to win the popular vote…And she did.

        But this article is saying it’s based on the EC,

        Nate Silver’s latest forecast now gives Vice President Kamala Harris a slight edge in the Electoral College
        The model shows Harris securing 271 Electoral College votes to Trump’s 267.