How would you answer this, and how would you expect Chinese netizens on Xiaohongshu to answer?

I will link to the thread in the comments because I want you to take a moment and think about it first.

  • djsoren19
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    65 months ago

    Not a nationalist, I find this a terrifying thought, but 100%. Unless action is actually taken in the U.S., I don’t think the West stands a chance. China is already in a much stronger position than I think many Westerners realize, they made tremendous gains during the last Trump presidency. If Trump really does cling to power for the rest of his life, I think we’ll see a world where SA, SEA, Africa and parts of Europe are all completely economically reliant on China.

    • Omega
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      25 months ago

      As if it wasn’t like that with USA too

      I don’t think it’ll be as bad as mentioned

    • Cowbee [he/they]
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      85 months ago

      It would be a good idea to learn a bit, I think, considering that they will play an increasingly large role on the global stage.

  • @[email protected]
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    655 months ago

    I would like to hope no one nation is the future. Replacing one global hegemony with another is not my idea of progress.

      • @[email protected]
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        25 months ago

        In one sense, as a key component of the UK, they already had that chance somewhere between the years of 1600-ish to 1945-ish.

          • Skua
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            35 months ago

            Ehhhhh we Scots should probably not argue too hard. Unlike the other two we joined mostly-voluntarily and were doing our own small scale empire thing beforehand as well. We were rubbish at it, but I don’t think there are sympathy points for incompetence. The Welsh and Irish definitely got dragged along wthout a say though

      • anon6789
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        115 months ago

        Oh my, I can’t even begin to imagine what a Texan or Creole Welsh accent would sound like if that was the international language! 😵‍💫

    • Cowbee [he/they]
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      65 months ago

      Can you elaborate? How is the PRC in any way comparable with respect to Imperialism as the United States?

        • Nemo's public admirer
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          65 months ago

          Tanks stopping when a person blocked their path? And remaining calm even when the person climbs over the tank? Finally the tank driver talking with person calmly?

          Their army or atleast the tank driver seems to be very decent.

            • Cowbee [he/they]
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              5 months ago

              I linked a video, because we know he’s fine. He talks to the tank driver after climbing up on the tank, then leaves. I don’t think a picture of the PLA showing patience after leaving the square does much for your point.

              Yes, hundreds of protestors were killed, and many PLA officers lynched and burned alive, and more. Nobody denies that. However, showing a dude who we know lived is not the own you think it is, nor does it say anything about US Imperialism being “nicer.” The US at the time was of course preparing for the Gulf War, which would set the stage for US Imperialism to result in 1 million Iraqi deaths under false pretenses of WMDs.

  • Cowbee [he/they]
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    345 months ago

    I think it’s pretty clear that despite Trump’s attempts to revitalize US manufacturing, the US won’t be able to outpace China’s industrial growth even if they hard pivot. China is, like it or not, almost certainly the next Global Hegemon as the US’ grip on the world is falling. Western Europe won’t be able to oppose it either.

    I think Chinese citizens are generally hopeful for their country, but more than anything I think most of their citizens would want everyone to advance. I don’t think any doubt that China will surpass the US.

  • ShimmeringKoi [comrade/them]
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    5 months ago

    Real talk, I take comfort in knowing that the high tech future we were promised at the turn of the millennium isn’t dead after all, it’s just happening in China

  • @[email protected]
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    5 months ago

    The near future? Yes. Absolutely. The have the best economic and political system so far, and are now building out their military to step into the role of hegemon.

    The far future?

    Assuming China can crack down on global coal and oil usage and figure out climate change, they’ll be paving the way for communism in a couple of generations. If they can successfully solve these issues, crush the capitalist markets, and still maintain or lower their current level of corruption then communism is inevitable by 2100 at the latest.

    This will be the last century of kings and ceos. Either the world ends due to climate change and capitalist greed, or humanity prevails through communism. There isn’t another option left.

    • Cowbee [he/they]
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      45 months ago

      The PRC definitely has its problems, but I am especially encouraged by their massive restructuring of their energy grid. I don’t think Communism will come by 2100, but maybe 2150 or 2200, as there are going to be Capitalist holdouts for a long time resisting progress.

  • roux [he/him, they/them]
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    105 months ago

    If the US doesn’t fuck up it’s own demise and just dies peacefully, I can see that being the case.

    But I think China would use their new powers to help lift other countries up instead of continuing to use the global south as a giant slave plantation like the US is doing.

  • Erika3sis [she/her, xe/xem]
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    5 months ago

    For whatever it’s worth, despite never formally studying Chinese, I managed to read both the Chinese sentences, albeit with the wrong tones. Like to be fair I have studied Japanese, and I am generally a bit of a weirdo with a knack for this sort of thing — but I do still have to wonder if more people are just going to start casually picking up hanzi just from exposure like I have, as China becomes more prominent. I could certainly see it happening.

    “China is the future” is a bit of a vague question, though. Just from my interpretation of it…

    I absolutely think that the USA is currently crumbling as the world’s hegemon — interestingly enough, the USA’s flag actually has stars on it to represent a “new constellation”, using the constellations in the sky as an allegory for the rise and fall of nations; so it indeed seems like the fifty-star constellation is beginning to fall beyond the horizon, as a new five-star constellation rises.

    This being said, I don’t think China’s behavior as future hegemon will be the same as the USA’s current behavior as present hegemon. I don’t necessarily know what to expect from the future, though, so it’s probably best to prepare for all possibilities until we gain a clearer understanding of the situation.

    • @[email protected]
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      65 months ago

      Also, we can’t really know and judge China as the world leader, as they’re not yet.

      As soon as you are on top, your behaviour might change. Both for the better, but most likely for the worse. (see US)

      Also, we have to remember that China still needs all western partners to keep up their production. They are still a manufacturing country.

      • baaaaaaaaaaah [comrade/them]
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        175 months ago

        As soon as you are on top, your behaviour might change.

        It might, it might not. America’s behavior didn’t change; from the start they’ve been aggressive and expansionist, the scope just grew as they became more powerful.

        China’s been growing rapidly for decades while very seldomly acting militarily outside their borders. They don’t seem to have expansionist goals outside those declared over 70 years ago (ie Taiwan) and have even negotiated down on border conflicts. It’s not impossible but it’d be strange for China to make a complete about-turn on their stated policy of non-intervention.

          • Cowbee [he/they]
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            195 months ago

            The re-education program in Xinjiang seems to have ended already and fulfilled its stated purpose. Tibet had slavery and was semi-feudalist, while the Dalai Lama owned slaves and was working with the CIA. Life expectancy dramatically improved along with many other metrics like literacy rates once the PLA ended slavery and feudalism. For the DPRK, they maintain trade relations with them, the most sanctioned country on the planet and one of the most heavily bombed. HK was a British Colony to be returned to the PRC, and now most Hong Kong residents would rather be integrated with the Chinese economy.

            I think you need to investigate more of these topics if you’re going to list them off as points.

            • @[email protected]
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              15 months ago

              What do you call Tibet then. I know they couldn’t fight back that much, but it’s a literal invasion.

              • baaaaaaaaaaah [comrade/them]
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                5 months ago

                Tibet was recognised by every country on the planet as sovereign Chinese territory, both then and today.

                (That was also like 70 years ago, China’s last war was against Vietnam in the late 1970s)

              • OBJECTION!OP
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                115 months ago

                Putting aside everything else, approximately when do you believe that happened?

                • @[email protected]
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                  5 months ago

                  I was confusing the actual war with a later protest against China because of Tibet, happening maybe 10 years ago.

                  My mistake.

                  EDIT: Okay I know what happened now. Just found out that Google is displaying different boarders around the world to different regions. I’m pretty sure Tibet was on the map not many years ago, and now it’s not. But apparently, it’s only been like that in the western world.

              • ShimmeringKoi [comrade/them]
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                5 months ago

                In 1959, Anna Louise Strong visited an exhibition of torture equipment that had been used by the Tibetan overlords. There were handcuffs of all sizes, including small ones for children, and instruments for cutting off noses and ears, gouging out eyes, breaking off hands, and hamstringing legs. There were hot brands, whips, and special implements for disemboweling. The exhibition presented photographs and testimonies of victims who had been blinded or crippled or suffered amputations for thievery. There was the shepherd whose master owed him a reimbursement in yuan and wheat but refused to pay. So he took one of the master’s cows; for this he had his hands severed. Another herdsman, who opposed having his wife taken from him by his lord, had his hands broken off. There were pictures of Communist activists with noses and upper lips cut off, and a woman who wasremovedd and then had her nose sliced away.23

                Earlier visitors to Tibet commented on the theocratic despotism. In 1895, an Englishman, Dr. A. L. Waddell, wrote that the populace was under the “intolerable tyranny of monks” and the devil superstitions they had fashioned to terrorize the people. In 1904 Perceval Landon described the Dalai Lama’s rule as “an engine of oppression.” At about that time, another English traveler, Captain W.F.T. O’Connor, observed that “the great landowners and the priests… exercise each in their own dominion a despotic power from which there is no appeal,”

                Liberating people from inhumanly cruel and merciless theocratic overlords is good actually, and I hope we can cultivate more of that energy here in the US.

                Exerpts are from “Friendly Feudalism: The Tibet Myth” by Micheal Parenti. The whole essay is quite good and not very long. https://forum.ableton.com/viewtopic.php?t=88773

          • BeamBrain [he/him]
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            5 months ago

            Then there’s the whole silencing of Hong Kong, and I don’t now enough to say what happened there, so I won’t. Just know something did.

            I. NO INVESTIGATION, NO RIGHT TO SPEAK

            Unless you have investigated a problem, you will be deprived of the right to speak on it. Isn’t that too harsh? Not in the least. When you have not probed into a problem, into the present facts and its past history, and know nothing of its essentials, whatever you say about it will undoubtedly be nonsense. Talking nonsense solves no problems, as everyone knows, so why is it unjust to deprive you of the right to speak? Quite a few comrades always keep their eyes shut and talk nonsense, and for a Communist that is disgraceful. How can a Communist keep his eyes shut and talk nonsense?

            It won’t do!

            It won’t do!

            You must investigate!

            You must not talk nonsense!

      • @[email protected]
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        5 months ago

        yeah sure, in china, you dont have basic human rights and if you request them you die and i think that should not be a thing in the future

        also mod removed my comment, the original comment was: “no, infact i think there should not be any china in the future”

        they removed bc of rule 1? maybe they thought its racist or smthng idk, i dont have anything against the chinese people, but i just think the chinese government is bad

    • @[email protected]
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      85 months ago

      I’m saying this unironically: this comment could go on any dumbass thread about China’s dumbass social media and dumbass AI. I don’t understand why I don’t see it more.

      They. Are. Authoritarian.

      • Cowbee [he/they]
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        25 months ago

        The reason you don’t see it more is because “authoritarian” isn’t a hard line you can cross, but a general descriptor, and as a consequence many will disagree about the legitimacy of that vague descriptor or believe other countries like the US fit that descriptor better. What do you personally think counts as sufficient to label one country authoritarian, and another not? Can you give an example of each, or is every country authoritarian? Does it matter if some are more or less authoritarian? All of these questions have different answers from person to person, because they apply to a general descriptor and not a hard metric, like “does the PRC have growing wages for the working class?” Or “do Chinese people enioy their system?” Food for thought.

        • @[email protected]
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          55 months ago

          So when you said “that kinda thing never works for long” you were referencing to any state? I think history has proven you wrong on that one, champ.

          • @[email protected]
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            15 months ago

            just look at rome, or any other empire for that matter, didn’t last for ever, I was talking about the history of humanity, not a few lifetimes

            • @[email protected]
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              65 months ago

              Rome wasn’t a state, and it lasted for many centuries. Don’t try to pretend by “doesn’t work for long” you were talking about geological time or something

          • Cowbee [he/they]
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            35 months ago

            They did end up saying AnCapism or Minarchism would be better than current regulated Capitalism. I mean, if that happened to the US Imperialism would be kneecapped, so I suppose that would technically be better for most people.