• @[email protected]
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    32 months ago

    Selecting not at random, A xor D must be correct, because the answer key can only have one correct answer so even duplicate right answers must also be wrong.

    • @[email protected]
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      22 months ago

      It asked for whether the answer is correct not whether it lines up with the answer sheet.

  • @[email protected]
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    342 months ago

    It’s 0%, because 0% isn’t on the list and therefore you have no chance of picking it. It’s the only answer consistent with itself. All other chances cause a kind of paradox-loop.

    • @[email protected]
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      2 months ago

      I agree with 0% but disagree there’s any paradox - every choice is just plain old wrong. Each choice cannot be correct because no percentage reflects the chance of picking that number.

      Ordinarily we’d assume the chance is 25% because in most tests there’s only one right choice. But this one evidently could have more than one right choice, if the choice stated twice was correct - which it isn’t. So there’s no basis for supposing that 25% is correct here, which causes the whole paradox to unravel.

      Now replace 60% with 0%. Maybe that would count as a proper paradox. But I’d still say the answer is 0%, it’s just wrong in the hypothetical situation posed by the question rather than the actual question.

      • @[email protected]
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        32 months ago

        Completely agree! In this case there is no real paradox, 0% is a perfectly consistent answer.

        I think if you replace 60% with 0%, you’d get a proper paradox, because now there is a non-zero chance of picking 0% and it’s no longer consistent with itself. It’s similar to the “This statement is false” paradox, where by assuming something is true, it makes it false and vice versa.

    • @[email protected]
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      42 months ago

      Correct - even if you include the (necessary) option of making up your own answer. If you pick a percentage at random, you have a 0% chance of picking 0%.

      • Caveman
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        32 months ago

        Correct, including 0% as a part of the answers would make 0% a wrong answer.

  • @[email protected]
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    12 months ago

    I asked Google to roll a D4 and it rolled a 4. So my answer (correct or not) when following the directions in the question is the fourth one (D).

  • @[email protected]
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    2 months ago

    This can also be used a great example of proof by contradiction: There is no correct answer in the options. Proof: Assume there was a correct answer in the options. Then it must be either 25%, 50% or 60%. Now we make a case distinction.

    (A) Assume it was 25. Then there would be two of four correct options yielding in a probability of 50%. Therefore 50 must be the correct answer. -> contradiction.

    (B) Assume it was 50. Then there would be one of four correct options yielding in a probability of 25%. Therefore the answer is 25. -> contradiction.

    © Assume it was 60%. Since only 0,1,2,3 or 4 of the answers can be correct the probability of choosing the right answer must be one of 0% 25% 50% 75% or 100%. -> contradiction.

    Because of (A), (B) and ©, it cannot be 25, 50% or 60%. -> contradiction.

  • @[email protected]
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    32 months ago

    It’s annoying that 25% appears twice. How about these answers:

    a) 100%

    b) 75%

    c) 50%

    d) 0%

  • @[email protected]
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    2 months ago

    If you’re choosing the answer, then there is 100% chance of being correct. Since none of these answers is 100%, the chance is 0%.

  • @[email protected]
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    122 months ago

    Thanks for making me laugh all alone in my car before heading in to work. I wish I could give you an award. Cheers!

  • @[email protected]
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    52 months ago

    I argue it’s still 25%, because the answer is either a,b,c, or d, you can only choose 1, regardless of the possible answer having two slots.

    • @[email protected]
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      62 months ago

      Yup. And it says pick at random. Not apply a bunch of bullshit self mastubatory lines of thinking. Ultimately, 1 of those answers are keyed as correct, 3 are not. It’s 25% if you pick at random. If you’re applying a bunch of logic into it you’re no longer following the parameters anyway.

      • Ech
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        2 months ago

        You can just say “I don’t understand probability (or the word ‘if’)” next time and save a whole bunch of effort.

      • redfellow
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        102 months ago

        If you picked it randomly 100 times, would you be correct only 25% of time despite two choices being the same?

        It must be a 50% chance.

        But that would mean 50% is correct and…

        Correct answer: all the answers in the multiple choice are wrong

  • @[email protected]
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    52 months ago

    Since two of them are the same, you have a 50% chance of picking something that is 33% of the possible answers. The other two, you have 25% chance of picking something that us 33% of the possible answers.

    So 50%33% + 2 (33%*25%)= 33%

    So your chances of being right is 33% cause there is effectively 3 choices.

    • redfellow
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      22 months ago

      But that one answer has a 33% larger possibility of being chosen by random, than the remaining two.

  • @[email protected]
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    102 months ago

    What’s the correct value if the answer is not picked at random but the test takers can choose freely?