• Lasherz
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    2418 days ago

    Artificial stem cells seem like the next thing to really revolutionize medicine.

    Quantum computers for brute force hacks seems doable in 100.

    Eye tracking pointer devices will likely be more convenient than mice within a dozen or two years. This will probably be widely available for people who are paralyzed first.

    Diamond processors are always 10 years away, but I think we can do it in 100. This would revolutionize the amount of power we can put through a chip without worrying about cooling.

    Quick charge capacitor replacements for standard rechargble batteries

    Low yield fusion plants. I’d like to think of them as capable of high yield, but it’s much harder than initially thought. Some ideas are quite promising for low yield.

    • Troy
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      918 days ago

      Not FTL though. Slower than light, causality preserving version? Sure.

        • Troy
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          818 days ago

          Exceeding FTL (and breaking causality) is basically a sci fi trope at this point with about as much credibility as psychics. To have at least some credibility you need one of: a testable hypothesis, or an unexplained phenomenon. Right now we have neither. At best, we have some equations, that work below light speed, where we can extrapolate past light speed and see how the math works. The problem is: none of these equations are testable as they all contain infinities or other asymptotic features that prevent passing light speed itself. So, if there’s no viable math to get from sublight to FTL, and there’s no unexplained phenomena, then what we’re left with is nothing.

          Even quantum entanglement, which is a darling of sci fi whenever they need a plot device (hello Le Guin and the ansible), has categorically been shown to obey causality and the light speed limit in every lab test.

          At some point it’s like asking for negative mass, antigravity, or other things that the math would allow. Except our universe doesn’t.

          I’ve got a wormhole to sell you ;)

          • DominusOfMegadeus
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            618 days ago

            Obviously if we were to exceed light speed we would turn into lizards and mate with each other and have lizard babies. I thought this was common knowledge.

          • @[email protected]
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            218 days ago

            in scifi there seems to be several types of ftl: one is typical warp like drive of trek, and star wars, and hyperdrives which is similar to transwarp/slipstream/xindi vortex travel, which is interdimensional travel so not technically violating light speed. and the least common one is interdimensional teleportation, BSG reimanging uses this tech, although they dint bother trying to explain it with technobabble at all, because of the showrunners allergy to trek-speak. STD, and a single episode arc of tng a group of terrorists were using interdimensional transporters.

            trek also had other forms of ftl, but those are very rare, and its pretty much similar to the last 2.

            • Troy
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              117 days ago

              And every one of those are as grounded in reality as sci fi’s agelong obsession telepaths, telekinesis, or mutants with powers.

              There is a class of modern sci fi authors are all coming to terms with this.

              I’d recommend checking out stories like Neptune’s Brood – sci fi which takes on interstellar economics in slower than light scenarios.

        • @[email protected]
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          18 days ago

          Basically, physics says that nothing, not even information can actually travel faster than the speed of light. It’s a universal limit that shows up when you do the math on relativity. This concept is called “causality”.

          Because of this, FTL communication is probably impossible. Quantum entanglement seems like it could provide a loophole, but it doesn’t actually work that way. To actually use quantum entanglement for communication, it actually needs a confirmation message, which would have to be delivered by a different means (every quantum message needs a non-quantum confirmation). That confirmation would be bound by the speed of light, thus preserving causality.

          This is a very very rough description based on my memory, so some details may be a little off, but it should cover the gist. This article goes into more detail:

          https://bigthink.com/starts-with-a-bang/quantum-entanglement-faster-than-light/

          Edit: After reading, the answer is more that attempting to impart information onto the entangled particles to send a message necessarily breaks the entanglement and thus does not transmit the information to the other side. Entangling the particles makes their states related to each other, but only at the time of entanglement, and anything that changes either particle (including measuring it) will break the entanglement going forward.

          • DominusOfMegadeus
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            218 days ago

            Yup. You just summed up the start of the conversation I had with ChatGPT to figure out exactly what we were talking about Here and why the fact that even if we can’t directly send coherent information, if it appears that a change in particle A directly causes a change in particle B, and it appears that that causation happened Instantaneously, we can’t ever prove it or measure it or know it for certain, because the proving measuring and knowing would have to have occurred at instantaneously themselves in order to actually be proof at all. The even more fascinating part I wound up with is discovering the Holographic Principle, as discovered by Beckenstein and later expanded on and proven by Stephen Hawking, that says that all information in the 3-D world is actually encoded into a 2-D framework. That one blew my mind and I’m gonna be thinking about that for a while.

            • @[email protected]
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              218 days ago

              The holographic principle is fascinating, though a quick nitpick: I’m pretty sure we’ve only proven it for contracting spacetimes (as opposed to our expanding one), but a lot of people imagine it does apply to ours as well (I certainly suspect it does)

              • DominusOfMegadeus
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                218 days ago

                I followed this branch of the rabbit hole. Goddamn you for bringing another contradiction into play in my brain!

      • @[email protected]
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        118 days ago

        The idea is this:

        2 particles are quantum entangled. Whatever happens to one instantly happens to the other regardless of distance.

        So you establish a state that means “0” and a state that means “1” and you can send binary.

        At a minimum, you have quantum Morse code.

        • @[email protected]
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          418 days ago

          If you change one of the particles it just breaks the entanglement. If you measure one, then you instantly know the state the other will have when measured, but the result of your measurement - and therefore the other one also - is random. The only way to correlate the two measurements of the two particles is to send the results (at C or slower) to the same place and compare them. Otherwise each just looks like a random result.

          • @[email protected]
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            118 days ago

            (I know nothing about this)

            Could you to the sub-C measurement test enough times to show that it just empirically works, and then use it on that basis? Or are you saying that the sub-C measurement would prove that it doesn’t work (and it produces random noise)?

            • @[email protected]
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              217 days ago

              I’m not sure what you mean by ‘use it on that basis’. Yes, entanglement has been proven to work, but it can’t be used to communicate FTL.

            • @[email protected]
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              17 days ago

              I read it. Doesn’t mention FTL, because that’s not a possibility for actually transmitting info.

              Edit: I think the way these quantum encryption systems work is that basically the photons (and I assume it’s polarization being measured) become the encryption key to a message that is sent conventionally.

              Like the sender generates a bunch of entangled photons, sends the paired ones to the recipient, measures their photons and uses the results to encrypt the message, the receiver measures theirs and gets the same results, the sender sends the encrypted message over email or whatever, and the recipient has the same key because of entanglement.
              Meanwhile an eavesdropper measuring the photons would mess them up for the recipient so the message wouldn’t decrypt.

        • @[email protected]
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          218 days ago

          I’m familiar with quantum entanglement. It doesn’t work because you have no way of affecting which state you’ll measure, and thus what state the other particle will be in.

              • @[email protected]
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                218 days ago

                That’s not the part you were trying to say couldn’t be done. ;) You were trying to argue that quantum entanglement couldn’t be used to communicate, clearly it can.

                The FTL bit is the science fiction premise of the thread. ;)

                • @[email protected]
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                  318 days ago

                  That is indeed that bit I was saying couldn’t be done. Entanglement alone can’t be used to communicate; a signal has to be sent conventionally over the distance.

                  The FTL bit is physically impossible, so it’s not really “achievable in a reasonable time-frame”

            • Communist
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              17 days ago

              No they didn’t, they sent a conventional signal that was encrypted with an entangled particle. Nothing was sent ftl, this is like if I had two boxes that I know have the same thing in them, an encryption key, and traveled across the world, and sent you a message, you have the other box, the information in that box didn’t go ftl you just opened it later.

              there is no path to ftl communication here.

              have a basic video on the topic: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9oBiS_Yb9Ac

              • @[email protected]
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                117 days ago

                The FTL is the sci-fi component that is the subject of the thread, the quantum entanglement communication part is the real world piece they actually got working.

                • Communist
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                  17 days ago

                  It will never be possible to use this for ftl communications. This is like saying in 100 years we will use very long steel rods to communicate ftl by pushing on them. The problem is fundamental.

  • originalucifer
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    4218 days ago

    external gestation…a womb with a view

    severe genetic manipulation… designer babies

    digit/limb/organ regeneration

    • Troy
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      1618 days ago

      Seems entirely reasonable that a Gattaca future is achievable. Whether desirable is the other question. Somewhere CJ Cherryh is being worshipped as a prophet.

      • @[email protected]
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        1318 days ago

        Artificial wombs are something that’s often presented as dystopian, but I would imagine would actually be a very good thing. Beyond the obvious help it would be to infertile couples that desired children, they would if commonly adopted eliminate the danger of birth and pregnancy complications, and discomfort associated with the process. Probably not everyone would want to use it, but I’d bet even having the option would mean a lot to a lot of people.

        • @[email protected]
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          216 days ago

          The real downside to artificial wombs is that we may rapidly become dependent on them. Half of pregnancies result in spontaneous abortion. With external gestation that assumedly wouldn’t happen. That’s a hell of a lot of evolutionary pressure which could have all kinds of consequences.

    • FenrirIII
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      316 days ago

      They just released a story about removing the gene that causes down syndrome. Pretty huge

  • @[email protected]
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    1818 days ago

    I suspect we will see a human brain to digital interface. I don’t think it will be “downloading minds” or anything, but I could see someone finding a way to plug a specialized camera or mic in to have a full functioning robotic replacement part.

    I’m pretty sure they already have the beginning pieces to this, but its too specialized and expensive to do anything commercial with it yet.

    • @[email protected]
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      417 days ago

      This is so terrifying to me. I feel like it’ll end up like the Black Mirror episode with the subscription model, getting more and more expensive with fewer features.

    • @[email protected]
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      218 days ago

      Cochlear implants are a form of this, and are already commercial. I remember having a conversation with a guy at a doof about 10 years ago, standing right near a loud sound system, and it took me 20 minutes to realise he had one. He was completely deaf without it on… I can only assume the tech is much better these days.

      Similar things exist for vision (though maybe not yet commercial?).

    • @[email protected]
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      118 days ago

      bsg, sga all had the brain interface thing going on. especially the cylon part was all about that.

  • @[email protected]
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    917 days ago

    We currently carry tricorders in our pockets. I can see a medical tricorder being ubiquitous for field medics, ships, and the like within 100 years.

  • @[email protected]
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    18 days ago

    I would guess that we’ll most-likely have AGI in 100 years. That’s pretty futuristic and impactful.

  • rauls5
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    318 days ago

    Fully autonomous humanoid robots. Unfortunately with out-of-control AGI they will probably kill me.

    It would have been cool to have a benign C3-PO or R2D2.

  • @[email protected]
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    16 days ago

    I think genetic engineering is the most high-potential tech right now. They’re already using it to cure sickle cell, and my (total non-expert, probably way too hopeful) pipe dream is that we could basically treat it like we can open a terminal on the body some day and change whatever we want.

    Edit: I just want to point out that I’m imagining curing cancer, reversing aging, etc. Not like, additional orifices or anything.