meth_dragon [none/use name]

  • 5 Posts
  • 220 Comments
Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: August 6th, 2022

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  • best place for us to escalate is europe. logistics are easiest, most number of stooges to send to get killed, most politically captured, decent amount of capital to redirect.

    second by a wide margin is israel, logistics are bad, iran’s too far away and has already been sanctioned to death, israel is tiny and the opponents that are actually targetable are a bunch of non state actors engaging in protracted people’s war with islamic characteristics.

    third is asia. bunch of opportunistic islands all well within range of chinese strategic deterrence. us lost the korean war when it was at its most dominant, unlikely that it and its proxies will win round two.

    this is a message intended to deter the dprk from intervening as much as it might in eastern europe when the nato/russia conflict eventually kicks off and the russia/dprk mutual defense treaty is invoked.





  • i think it’s becoming more and more clear that russia and china have mostly achieved strategic overmatch in northeast asia. obviously, this is in large part due to the complete lack of depth of all the us lackeys in the area, but there are logistical elements to consider, as well as iran’s spectacular showcasing of the ineffectiveness of western air defences in general. additionally, the constituency and elites of japan and samsung are ideologically less captured than america’s european satrapies, if only due to language differences. japan in particular, being the largest and perhaps most loyal running dog, has been very cautiously testing the waters via more extroverted trade policies in asean since the two plaza accords and has engaged in… well, strange and uncharacteristic behavior that could be interpreted as reconciliatory in recent months. as such, it seems unlikely that imperial provocations in the region will be met with as much success as they have in ukraine.

    on the contrary, northeast asia at this point is more of a liability than anything. if we generously assume that the imperialists do well in all their efforts elsewhere, then the korean peninsula can serve as an anti-imperialist release valve to divert pressure away from the other fronts. this is amplified by the fact that the imperialists are running a war of optics and narrative, and the bad optics of allowing allies to be categorically abandoned is worse than actually losing men and materiel. conversely, if the imperialists are on the backfoot, then it follows that activation of this theater will only serve to stretch them even further. it goes without saying that the american best case scenario is for both japan and samsung to obediently destroy themselves against the asiatic hordes of the east, but the possibility of this happening really hinges on american successes (that is, successful displays of continuing american dominance and thus legitimacy) in the european and mena theaters.

    overall, it feels like america is in a bit of a bind at the moment. the only way it can win is if it can indirectly get its vassals to destroy themselves, but the only way it can for sure get its vassals to destroy themselves completely is through a successful direct intervention.

    tldr; no, because the world’s most based millenial will just initiate bakhmut 2: ballistic boogaloo and turn seoul into the moon 10 hours after hostilities commence. also they won’t be able to get him because word on the street is that they had him send his guys to teach the irgc how to build tunnels.