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The original article in German is here.

  • Victor Gao, ex-interpreter to politician Deng Xiaoping and now Beijing’s mouthpiece, promotes China’s line in the West.
  • In the midst of economic problems, China is trying to win back Europe as a partner - on the condition that it does not criticize Beijing.

Where other Chinese experts remain silent because the new anti-espionage law forces them to be cautious, Victor Gao [once Deng Xiaoping’s interpreter, now vice president of a government-affiliated think tank and figurehead for China’s propaganda] talks. And how. Whether CNN, BBC or al-Jazeera - everyone gets it from him, the party line, eloquently packaged and charmingly served.

[…]

His current mission: to woo Europe, while relations with the West are crumbling under the weight of Hong Kong, Taiwan, Xinjiang, corona and closing ranks with Russia.

[…]

Victor Gao demands: “Wake up from your American nightmare.” And immediately delivers the Chinese offer: less morality, more market. China as a “resource”, not a rival.

[…]

But behind the smile lurks geopolitical calculation.

After all, NATO has long been seen as the enemy, and Western democracies are described in China’s state media as decadent, refugee-ridden orders. At the same time, Gao preaches closing ranks in interviews - as long as Europe refrains from any criticism of Beijing.

[…]

Victor Gao, who translated Deng’s words into the international arena in the 1980s, embodies China’s transformation: from an aspiring reformist state to an autocratically controlled superpower under Xi Jinping.

What used to be openness is now demarcation - and yet: economic hardship is forcing China back towards rapprochement.

With the economic downturn in its own country, youth unemployment, the real estate crisis, demographic decline and mountains of debt, it now wants Europe back as a partner. Or at least as a market.

[…]

Gao describes Europe as a continent on the brink of collapse: “You have no more money at all,” he says. China, on the other hand? Ready to help. With experience, technology and growth. A kind of development aid - made in China.

But the price is high: no criticism. No geopolitics. No questions asked.

Human rights? Tibet? Xinjiang? Are elegantly omitted. Anyone who raises them is either a “gangster” financed by the USA or a naïve idealist. Gao prefers to sell the high-speed train network, the next 6G expansion and the bubbling growth figures.

Problems? “Of course there are,” he says - and immediately changes the subject.

[…]

Victor Gao says that Europe is too small to be an adversary.

But perhaps this is precisely Europe’s underestimated strength: not wanting to dominate, but to mediate between the extremes - without selling out.

Because Gao is right about one thing: the world as we know it is changing rapidly. But whether China’s charm offensive is more than just a tactical smile will be measured by whether Beijing wants genuine partnership - or just a Europe that shuts up and pays up.

  • NoneOfUrBusiness
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    112 months ago

    Victor Gao says that Europe is too small to be an adversary.

    Uh… Gestures at America and also all of post-Medieval European history?

    • Richard
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      72 months ago

      I am sure that Europe was “too small to be an adversary” during the Boxer Rebellion too wink

  • @[email protected]
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    162 months ago

    This is a genuinely interesting article about global politics, but I sorta get the impression there’s this underlying “Does Europe pick US or China as a trade partner?” question at the heart of it.

    Seems like this pulls into very 1 dimensional view, and surely the answer is just, Europe should be sceptical of China and USA’s motives, trade wherever it’s beneficial, and push for the things it values (positive take would be workers rights, renewable energy etc).

    Trump is trying push a whole pick sides narative on the world, that seems pretty ignorant to actual reality, and just ends up with everyone more fractured and weak.

    • @[email protected]
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      12 months ago

      Trump is trying push a whole pick sides narative on the world, that seems pretty ignorant to actual reality, and just ends up with everyone more fractured and weak.

      That’s because he can’t think in 3D. Boyo is pretty limited in his worldview…

    • @[email protected]
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      32 months ago

      How about neither? Both China and the USA have proven themselves to be unreliable trade partners. In fact, a lack of reliability is inherent in any trade relationship. The conventional theory is that trade brings prosperity (true!) and governments want to maintain that prosperity, so they have a (literally) vested interest in preserving that - and this latter part is not so true anymore these days. (We all know why of course, it’s because the prosperity is not shared equally in the USA, and China is unstable because it’s a totalitarian state that will happily immolate itself in order to save face - but this is besides the point.)

      The important point is that while trade is nice because it brings greater prosperity, it also comes with security risks and as we move into a new age of geopolitics, we need to be aware of this and find a better balance between trade and security. It will be hard, because it’s so easy to be greedy and focus only on economics, but hopefully we will continue learning the lesson of finding this balance as we see more and more crazy things unfold over the course of this decade.

  • Lit
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    82 months ago

    Woke Tariff Trump or Cheap goods Xi … hmm

  • @[email protected]
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    672 months ago

    Why should Europe leave the influence of the US just to bow to another hegemon? Why shouldn’t we do our own thing?

    • NoneOfUrBusiness
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      202 months ago

      Because despite having a so-called union Europe is about as united as a relatively disciplined herd of cats and has acute far right-osis. There are pretty big obstacles standing in the face of a Europe that can compete with America and China and not having enough weapons is only one of them.

    • @[email protected]
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      402 months ago

      Because you can’t get past your minor differences and unite.

      A truly united EU would dominate the world, but y’all want to maintain individual sovereignty over foreign affairs.

      • @[email protected]
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        62 months ago

        The EU just got overthrown after dominating the world and making the world infinitely worse.

        Europeans can never be global leaders ever again after performing the worst genocides in history and performing the most slavery in history, both on scales unimaginable in the modern world.

          • @[email protected]
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            22 months ago

            Let me rephrase, the world will never allow Europeans to be global leaders ever again now that they have the weapons and resources to prevent colonization and domination.

            After the last 800 years Europe should be happy it didn’t become a crater the second nukes left the hands of white colonialists. It needs to live as a third world country for a few centuries minimum as recompense while the rest of humanity moves forward.

              • @[email protected]
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                12 months ago

                I’m nice to people other than fascists and their enablers.

                White colonizers that still believe they need to be leaders of the more savage barbarian world (see the other replies to me for examples) are fascists. Or too stupid to ever resist fascism.

            • @[email protected]
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              42 months ago

              Well well well. Won’t you look at who would have done exactly the same thing as the european empires did, if they had the chance?

              You’re not mad that it happened at all, you’re mad that it happened to you. Hypocrite.

              • @[email protected]
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                12 months ago

                If you truly believe that nazi shit, you’ve only proven me correct. You people should never have global power, nor should you have a say outside your own country. For anything.

                • @[email protected]
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                  52 months ago

                  Do you realize how you’re quite literally advocating for genocide, and you see absolutely nothing wrong with that?

                  How are you any different from Europeans? Because you’ve been victim of oppression doesn’t make you any less likely to oppress others when given the chance, as you’re clearly demonstrating.

                • @[email protected]
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                  122 months ago

                  All those people are dead. Not only the part of history you know about, but also all of the other history you don’t have a clue about.

                  Everyone has perished.

                  Now we just look at the current world and what the state of it is.

                  If you’re going to be xenophobic about Europe, be my guest, but you’re just going to be bitter and accomplish nothing with it.

                  The EU has an income inequality gini of 0,29. We are the best in the whole world in solidarity. That’s just a fact.

                  USA has it at 0,42. China has it at 0,36.

                  China has barely any refugees, they think we are weak to have accepted refugees.

                  USA gives too much power to their president. They’ll learn from this.

                  Indonesia’s president is trying to put military into the government policy positions.

                  Myanmar is going batshit crazy.

                  Syria is fucked up.

                  Libya is fucked up.

                  Egypt has no women rights.

                  Israel is going full nazi

                  Russia is going full imperialist

                  Brazil has homicide rates like Ukraine

                  Etc etc

          • @[email protected]
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            62 months ago

            Pretending the genocides the member countries committed (many stretching well past the 1990s,) didn’t set up the EUs wealth and global position is at best misinformation and at worst fascist propaganda. Did you think you were rich because you were really ubermensch?

            • @[email protected]
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              142 months ago

              Well I mean, you’ll be hard pressed to find any empire in history who didn’t dab in a little bit of genocide here and there, it’s not like european countries have a monopoly here.

              Name me a civilization that didn’t commit genocide, and you’ll have found a civilization that didn’t have the chance to do it…

              • @[email protected]
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                12 months ago

                The difference is those empires are dead, their wealth and power long distributed. Europe kept their wealth, pretended just saying sorry was an option, and still has colonies across the world.

            • @[email protected]
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              52 months ago

              Because all other countries of course are kisses and hugs correct? For context the peaceful Japan, as soon as it got military supremacy embraced in genocidal campaigns twice. The Arab had one of the longest, largest slavery network in history, China has probably the record for most deaths overall. And the list goes on.

              The fact that the strong oppress the weak is human nature. On the opposite I would actually argue that the true change in government came from western civilization: the only one to start and success in abolishing slavery for example. The only one to invent and promote democracy.

      • @[email protected]
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        42 months ago

        The problem here is: the EU currently works quite well overall for its citizens, precisely because there isn’t really one big player. It is considerably more difficult to commit crimes and atrocities on the scale of the US, Russia and China when you’re small, weak, and all your close allies are watching you. I don’t have any doubts that a united EU, a federation perhaps, like it was originally intended, would be the greatest power the world has ever seen. But it would come at a great cost to all of its citizens. In anywhere between 50-250 years it would most likely develop into an empire similar to the ones we have right now. Unless we could figure out some sort of new structure to combat these challenges, which in itself is a major undertaking.

    • @[email protected]
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      232 months ago

      China is predictable.

      US used to be, but now it seems they can be taken over by the whims of a single deranged man

        • @[email protected]
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          102 months ago

          I mean, shall we look at all countries’ track record of starting direct or proxy wars in the last 70 years or so to determine who’s more likely to attack?

          • @[email protected]
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            22 months ago

            my comment an exactly response to that too. some people are just opposed to authoritarian monopols uknow. Better to seek the option without these if u can

            • @[email protected]
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              22 months ago

              The supply of leading world economies who are friendly and democratic is now * does some quick math * zero.

          • @[email protected]
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            12 months ago

            Where was the CCP during the Korean War? Vietnam war? Who violently annexed Tibet? Who is constantly threatening Taiwan, building phony islands to claim Philippine, Vietnamese, and Malaysian territory?

            Now they’re capturing Chinese soldiers in Ukraine, using Russia as a proxy against the west.

            Not exactly doves.

    • @[email protected]
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      232 months ago

      Big difference: they are smarter. So they use so much lube when they get you from behind that you almost don’t feel it

    • djsoren19
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      32 months ago

      PRC is a lot less likely to crash your markets and then not return your calls afterwards.

    • @[email protected]
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      162 months ago

      Just to be clear, you think that being wooed with enticing promises, and being sucker punched in the teeth and told to bow down, are the same thing?

  • @[email protected]
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    112 months ago

    Tarifs and trade wars are bad and all that, however the way Europe is cozying up to BRICS states is worrying. There‘s still an all out military war going on in Ukraine in part because Europe has become too comfortable relying on dictators. We‘ve gone back and forth with Chinese charm offensives and threats too many times to be naive about this.

    Remember what our reliance on Russia is costing us. Contemplate what our even stronger reliance on China will cost us because one day we‘ll have to pay that piper too.

    • @[email protected]
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      22 months ago

      I think the EU has largely abandoned the high road with the moralizing finger and just focuses on navigating this world without imploding or tearing itself apart. The moral high ground hardly changed the world for the better so better to just focus on what’s required for your own stability and prosperity.

      • @[email protected]
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        42 months ago

        This is not about the moral high ground at all. Dictatorships are tearing the EU apart much harder than the EU itself ever could without their “help”. It’s a bad deal to rely on any of them too much.

    • @[email protected]
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      52 months ago

      Well, EU is accepting of Israeli perpetrated genocide, so I don’t see them not having a problem with Chinese ones

  • @[email protected]
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    112 months ago

    As an American:

    Is China threatening to invade Greenland?

    Did China just completely abandon and betray the most succesful military alliance in the modern era… in the middle of an active war involving that alliance?

    • @[email protected]OP
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      42 months ago

      Did China just completely abandon and betray the most succesful military alliance in the modern era… in the middle of an active war involving that alliance?

      China is a decisive supporter of Russia in this war.

      • @[email protected]
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        2 months ago

        Unless I’m missing something, China is doing a lot of trade with Russia in goods that help the Russians build their own military gear…

        whereas, under Biden, the US was doing that with Ukraine, and basically also just directly sending them something like half our mothball reserve military equipment, lots of ammo and arty shells, and a good deal of fancy newer stuff (HIMARS), and also very actively leveraging our intelligence assets/network to directly assist in operational planning.

        In fact, Trump has about faced so extremely hard that the EU could potentially make a trade deal with China that includes the EU buying a whole lot of shit they had been selling to Russia, so that the EU can better supply its now increasingly levels of / plans for its own military production while choking off Russia’s ability to do the same.

    • @[email protected]
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      2 months ago

      HEY! 😡 You better get in line and show your patriotic hatred for the people who built your country! Don’t you for ONE SECOND view them as people and treat them accordingly! It’ll be a cold day in hell when I don’t get to exploit Chinese people to death. 😡🇺🇸🇪🇺

  • @[email protected]
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    42 months ago

    So essentially the same thing as the US 50 years ago? And in some ways, kind of like Russia 200 years ago? Except it’s progressively getting more civil.

    Dealing with superpowers and empires is always unpleasant, and everyone would rather stay as far away from them as possible, but it’s not always and option. Well, it seems we either continue the cycle, and swap US partnership for China partnership (then probably same thing again in a couple decades), or we break the cycle somehow.

    • @[email protected]
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      132 months ago

      That’s too little.

      Stop genociding Uighurs, stop being a totalitarian police state, stop surveiling and pressuring Chinese abroad, become a democracy and we can start talking.

      • @[email protected]
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        82 months ago

        I agree with the list, but we never had that standard before so it would be difficult to start now. The economic support to Russia is pressing to say the least and it could actually be used as a token, since China could look for slightly higher prices elsewhere while maintaining their trade money.

        • @[email protected]
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          2 months ago

          I’d say it’s time to set that standard. In Germany, the term “value based foreign policy” floats around every now and then and IMHO, it should be well defined and extended to trade policy.

          Set standards, enforce them, and we could even encourage developing such values by linking trade volume to how well those values are developed. You stop genociding? Great, let’s trade a little. You democratize? Great, let’s trade a little more. You want to trade even more? Okay, stop criminalizing your gays.
          And yes, supporting such developments with foreign aid should not be undervalued either. Building schools and such.

          And yes, that will work better if we adhere to our own values, improve upon them and sanction people like organ in our midst. We need to do that, too.

          But that is the way to a better future for all humanity (and the rest of the planet). Also, this is not referring to trade with China only but global trade.

          • @[email protected]
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            12 months ago

            That only works if you have enough incentive to trade. The EU simply isn’t that valuable.

            • @[email protected]
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              32 months ago

              What are you talking about? The EU has around 450 million inhabitants and is one of the richest regions in the world and we have a single market economy. Everybody wants in. There’s a reason even Apple complies with the USB-C regulations.

              • @[email protected]
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                12 months ago

                And yet that’s fewer middle class consumers than the Chinese market, fewer lower class consumers than the south American market, just leaving upper class consumers… Which you have fewer of than the Chinese market.

                You’re not an essential market, you’re an expansion market.

                • @[email protected]
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                  2 months ago

                  Edit: I just read your other comments talking that Europe should be a third world country for compensation, that we are all white colonialists and fascist enablers etc.

                  Ergo instead of having a destined-to-fail attempt of a reasonable discussion, I just have one thing left to say: fuck off, troll.

          • @[email protected]
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            12 months ago

            Set standards, enforce them

            That’s what the supply chain act is about. Multinational companies are responsible for the human rights situation in the countries they source stuff from. Instead of outsourcing human rights abuses we’re not outsourcing human rights enforcement (abroad) by making companies explicitly liable also for their contractors, they can’t turn a blind eye, they have to do due diligence.